Method
We publish our kills
We bet our own money through this machinery. Most of what we test, we kill.
Every strategy we touch gets preregistered before we look at a single price, judged at executable odds, and confirmed on data it has never seen. Almost nothing survives. That's not failure. It's what honest measurement looks like, and it's exactly what we're building into every product.
The ledger on the right is real. When a company shows you only its winners, you're looking at marketing. When it shows you the graveyard, you're looking at a method.
RESEARCH LEDGER · LAST 30 DAYS
In-play state edges, 9 sports (~300 preregistered tests)KILLED
Cross-market arbitrage, darts & hockey (1,100+ events)KILLED
Market-making rent, prematch (3,489 markets)NO-GO
Line-drift fade, 6 sports · survived 3 independent judgesFORWARD TEST